WEALTH EFFECTS IN THE CEE EMERGING ECONOMIES: A LONG-RUN PANEL APPROACH

Authors

  • Florina BURDET Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Babes-Bolyai University, Cluj-Napoca, Romania; Laboratoire d’Economie d’Orléans (LEO-UCA), Université Clermont Auvergne, Clermont-Ferrand, France. Email: burdet.florina@gmail.com https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5449-3283

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.2478/subboec-2025-0006

Keywords:

actual individual consumption, housing wealth, stock wealth, panel cointegration analysis

Abstract

This paper explores the relationship between actual individual consumption, housing wealth, and stock wealth in a panel of emerging European Union economies. Using the pooled mean group estimator (PMG) and a crisis dummy variable, the analysis captures the effects of the 2008–2010 financial crisis. Results indicate that both housing and stock wealth positively influence consumption, with housing wealth having a slightly stronger impact. Consumption is also sensitive to long-term changes in the income from wages and salaries. Particularly during the crisis, when real estate market downturns significantly affected households in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), the effect of changes in asset prices raised in magnitude. The findings offer important policy implications for managing asset price effects on household consumption, particularly in emerging markets.

JEL classification: D12, E21, E52

References

Ahec-Šonje, A., Čeh-Časni, A., & Vizek, M. (2014). The effect of housing and stock market wealth on consumption in emerging and developed countries. Economic Systems, 38(3), 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecosys.2014.03.001

Ahec-Šonje, A., Ceh-Časni, A., & Vizek, M. (2012). Does housing wealth affect private consumption in European post-transition countries? Evidence from linear and threshold models. Post-Communist Economies, 24(1), 73–85. https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2012.647629

Ando, A., & Modigliani, F. (1963). The life cycle hypothesis of saving: Aggregate implications and tests. American Economic Review, 53, 55–84. https://doi.org/10.7551/mitpress/1923.003.0005

Angrisani, M., Hurd, M., & Rohwedder, S. (2019). The effect of housing wealth losses on spending in the great recession. Economic Inquiry, 57(2), 972–996. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.12753

Baker, S. R., Bloom, N., Davis, S. J., Kost, K., Sammon, M., & Viratyosin, T. (2020). The unprecedented stock market reaction to COVID-19. The Review of Asset Pricing Studies, 10(4), 742–758. https://doi.org/10.1093/rapstu/raaa008

Bekaert, G., Harvey, C. R., & Mondino, T. (2023). Emerging equity markets in a globalized world. Emerging Markets Review, 56, 101034.

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2023.101034

Berger, D., Guerrieri, V., Lorenzoni, G., & Vavra, J. (2018). House prices and consumer spending. The Review of Economic Studies, 85(3), 1502–1542. https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdx060

Blundell, R., Pistaferri, L., & Preston, I. (2008). Consumption inequality and partial insurance. American Economic Review, 98(5), 1887–1921. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.98.5.1887

Breitung, J. (2000). The local power of some unit root tests for panel data. In Non-Stationary Panels, Panel Cointegration, and Dynamic Panels: Advanced Econometrics (pp. 161–178). Amsterdam: JAI Press. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0731-9053(00)15006-6

Buiter, W. H. (2008). Housing wealth isn’t wealth. National Bureau of Economic Research, No. W14204. https://doi.org/10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2010-22

Carroll, C. D., Otsuka, M., & Slacalek, J. (2011). How large are housing and financial wealth effects? A new approach. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 43(1), 55–79. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4616.2010.00365.x

Catte, P., Girouard, N., & André, C. (2004). Housing markets, wealth, and business cycle. OECD Economics Department Working Papers. Paris: OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/18151973

Čeh-Časni, A. (2017). A note on housing wealth effect in selected Western Balkan countries. In Proceedings of the 14th International Symposium on Operational Research SOR’17: Slovenian Society Informatika, Section for Operational Research (pp. 21–26). Available at:

https://www.croris.hr/crosbi/publikacija/prilog-skup/652514

Čeh-Časni, A. (2018). The housing wealth effect before and after the 2008 financial crisis: Panel vector autoregression approach. Conference Paper. Available at: https://www.croris.hr/crosbi/publikacija/prilog-skup/661732

Cheng, A., & Fung, M. (2008). Financial market and housing wealth effects on consumption: A permanent income approach. Applied Economics, 40(23), 3029–3038. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840600994021

Christelis, D., Georgarakos, D., Jappelli, T., Pistaferri, L., & Van Rooij, M. (2021). Heterogeneous wealth effects. European Economic Review, 137, 103805. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2021.103805

Ciarlone, A. (2011). Housing wealth effect in emerging economies. Emerging Markets Review, 12, 399–417. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2011.06.003

Cloyne, J., Ferreira, C., & Surico, P. (2020). Monetary policy when households have debt: New evidence on the transmission mechanism. The Review of Economic Studies, 87(1), 102–129. https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdy074

Crowe, C., Dell’Ariccia, G., Igan, D., & Rabanal, P. (2013). How to deal with real estate booms: Lessons from country experiences. Journal of Financial Stability, 9(3), 300–319. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2013.05.003

De Bondt, G. J., Gleseck, A., & Zekalte, Z. (2019). Thick modelling income and wealth effects: A forecast application to Euro area private consumption. Empirical Economics, 58(1), 257–286. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-019-01738-w

Friedman, M. (1957). A theory of the consumption function. Princeton University Press.

Funke, N. (2004). Is there a stock market wealth effect in emerging markets? Economics Letters, 83, 417–421. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2003.12.002

Keynes, J. M. (1936). The general theory of employment, interest and money. Harcourt, Brace.

Jappelli, T., & Pistaferri, L. (2014). Fiscal policy and MPC heterogeneity. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 6(4), 107–136. https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.6.4.107

Levin, A., Lin, C. F., & Chu, C. S. J. (2002). Unit root tests in panel data: Asymptotic and finite-sample properties. Journal of Econometrics, 108, 1–24. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(01)00098-7

Mehra, Y.P., 2001. The wealth effect in empirical life-cycle aggregate consumption equations. Economic Quarterly, 87(2), pp.45–68. Available at:

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2182655 [accessed 01.08.2024].

Nardo, M., Ossola, E., & Papanagiotou, E. (2022). Financial integration in the EU28 equity markets: Measures and drivers. Journal of Financial Markets, 57, 100633. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.finmar.2021.100633

Nicolau, M., 2020. Interest rate and the financial and housing wealth effects in ten CEEC. Economics Bulletin, 40(2), pp.1132–1145. Available at:

https://www.accessecon.com/Pubs/EB/2020/Volume40/EB-20-V40-I2-P98.pdf [accessed 02.08.2024].

Peltonen, T.A., Sousa, R.M. and Vansteenkiste, I.S., 2012. Wealth effects in emerging market economies. International Review of Economics and Finance, 24, pp.155–166. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2012.01.006

Pesaran, M.H., 2007. A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22, pp.265–312. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.951

Pesaran, M.H. and Shin, Y., 1997. An auto-regressive distributed lag modelling approach to co-integration analysis. In: Econometrics and economic theory in the 20th century: The Ragnar Frisch Centennial Symposium. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, pp.371–413.

Pesaran, M.H., Shin, Y. and Smith, R.P., 1999. Pooled mean estimation of dynamic heterogeneous panels. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 94, pp.621–634. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1999.10474156

Posedel, P. and Vizek, M., 2009. House price determinants in transition and EU-15 countries. Post-Communist Economies, 21(3), pp.327–343.

https://doi.org/10.1080/14631370903090640

Poterba, J.M., 2000. Stock market wealth and consumption. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 14, pp.99–118. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.14.2.99

Rodil-Marzábal, Ó. and Menezes-Ferreira-Junior, V., 2016. The wealth effect in the Eurozone. Panoeconomicus, 63(1), pp.87–112. https://doi.org/10.2298/PAN1601087R

Rosenberg, S., 2016. The impact of a change in real estate value on private consumption in Estonia. Research in Economics and Business: Central and Eastern Europe, 7(2), pp.5–26. Available at: https://econpapers.repec.org/RePEc:ttu:rebcee:78 [accessed 20.08.2023].

Slacalek, J., 2009. What drives personal consumption? The role of housing and financial wealth. The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, 9(1), pp.1–37. https://doi.org/10.2202/1935-1690.1555

Vizek, M., 2011. The influence of stock market and housing wealth on consumption expenditures in transition countries. Research in Economics and Business: Central and Eastern Europe, 3(1), pp.50–63. Available at: https://econpapers.repec.org/RePEc:ttu:rebcee:8 [accessed 20.08.2023].

Westerlund, J., 2007. Testing for error-correction in panel data. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 69, pp.709–748. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0084.2007.00477.x.

Downloads

Published

2025-03-25

How to Cite

BURDET, F. (2025). WEALTH EFFECTS IN THE CEE EMERGING ECONOMIES: A LONG-RUN PANEL APPROACH. Studia Universitatis Babeș-Bolyai Oeconomica, 70(1), 112–125. https://doi.org/10.2478/subboec-2025-0006

Issue

Section

Articles

Similar Articles

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.